Rebalancing a Portfolio and Asset Classes Moving Together

This post will be broken up into two parts.

Rebalancing a Portfolio

I have a quick question about rebalancing a portfolio.

I know there are traditional portfolios and traditional ways of rebalancing them. To set up a traditional portfolio, you basically buy certain percentages of various asset classes, including domestic stocks, foreign stocks, commodities, bonds, etc… You base the percentages on your risk tolerance. You diversify into different asset classes to get the see-saw effect…when equities go up, bonds go down. Something like that. As market conditions and your portfolio allocations change, you rebalance the portfolio. Basically, you sell high and buy low. In theory, it works quite nicely.

So, here’s my question – Say someone is interested in moving away from asset classes (for reasons I will mention below) and setting up a portfolio in, say, currency ETFs. Say that person finds a few currency ETFs that move inversely with one another. Say those currency ETFs move relative to one another as well (the way the forex market does). Do you think it’s a wise investment decision to buy percentages of those ETFs and continuously rebalance them as they move away from their targets? This would be basically the same exact process as rebalancing a traditional portfolio. The way I see it, these ETFs are operating in true see-saw action.

Which brings me to the next part of this post…

Asset Classes Moving Together

I read an article a few days ago that described a problem facing those with a portfolio diversified into asset classes. The article said that since so many people are jumping on this asset class / rebalancing bandwagon and because of the market turmoil and unpredictability, various asset classes are now moving in lockstep with one another. Here is an article that describes it better than I can. It talks about correlation coefficients and stuff like that.

So what’s a person to do? Long term investors tell you to sit there and be patient. They are probably right. This is when people make real money…when there is turmoil and everyone is freaking out. Just continue to add to your investments and rebalance accordingly. I am in that camp. I mean, how many times have we seen the end of the world coming and then watch those people who stayed calm come out on top? Happens all the time.

So anyway, if you have any thoughts on these two topics, please leave a comment.


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Online Book Clubs

I have been reading a tremendous number of books lately. When I finish a book, I am usually eager to discuss it with someone of like mind. I oftentimes run into problems with this.

Back when I was a kid, my mother would call me into her room and read me (seemingly) moving excerpts from the book she was currently reading. Since I had no idea what she was talking about. I nodded politely and walked away. That’s how I think many of my friends and family feel when I bring up certain topics.

This morning, I came up with a great idea. I would look around the local area for a good book club for me to join. I would enjoy nothing more than to read a book and then sit in on a discussion and share my views of the book. Unfortunately, all the book clubs I found locally are limited by age, race, gender and every other sub group you can think of. They are quite exclusive. I guess I agree with their approach. I mean, what group of 80 year old women wants a 16 year old boy sitting in on their book club? I learned that these things are really sliced and diced.

So, I moved my search online. I thought to myself, “Hey, there is everything else online, why not a book club?” I am happy to report that there are quite a few online book clubs. I haven’t found any with set times and dates for discussion, but one of the better ones has a good choice of books and a very active forum. This should take my mind off the rest of the world’s goings on. Perhaps one day I will even find a live book club…one with web cams and all that. Now, that would be something.

If you have any suggestions for someone like me, someone who is interested in discussing good books, please let me know. Thank you.


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Home Improvements Boosting Home Value?

I just read another brilliant article posted over at Yahoo!’s homepage. It was entitled, “8 DIY Projects To Add Value To Your Home By Labor Day.”

The home improvement projects are to the effect of: change sinks and faucets, add back splashes, do some landscaping, put up some cabinets, etc… Here’s my question – Where in the world are people getting the money for this? This article was on the homepage of Yahoo! which means it was fed to the masses. From what I have heard, the masses are in debt up to their ears. Is it wise to be spreading articles that encourage people to spruce up their homes with trivial items in the midst of a financial crisis? I say no.

What I would have preferred to have seen on the homepage was something like, “Why You Are Broke and What To Do About it.” Maybe that was a different article for a different day. I don’t know.

So you ask, where is all this coming from? Well, I want you to do something. I want you to read two articles written by Gonzalo Lira. This guy writes stuff that makes sense. Sure, it’s not going to make you feel great, but a lot of stuff you need to hear isn’t going to either.

How Hyperinflation Will Happen

Hyperinflation, Part II: What It Will Look Like

If you do anything today, please read those two articles. Do it for yourself and your family. Try to resist reading cutesy little articles about adding curtains to your living room. The real estate market is history and it isn’t coming back for a long, long time. Any unnecessary improvement you make right now is the equivalent of opening up the window of a moving car and tossing your wallet out onto the street.

If these articles don’t move you or if you are still skeptical about the economic picture, please leave a comment and I would be happy to reply with a list of about 100 more articles from different authors and economists that support it.


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Really Bad Financial Arguments

Perhaps I shouldn’t call them arguments. Maybe “excuses” would be a better word.

As you may have guessed by reading this blog, I am somewhat conservative with my money. I don’t purchase frivolous items and I haven’t been inside a mall in a very, very long time. I just don’t do it. When I want to buy something, I write the item down on my “to-do” list. I let it sit for a few days at which point I delete it. I rarely end up buying what I wanted. I do this day in and day out. It’s called being patient and resisting the impulse.

I am writing this post to display two of the more severely horrible choices someone can make financially. I have friends who have tried to slip these by me. Fortunately for them, I kept my mouth shut. Unfortunately for them, they are losing money and are really feeling the pinch.

Argument #1 – “Yeah, but you have to live too.”

I get this one the most. It’s usually during the course of me educating someone as to why they are poor. Have you ever noticed that the people who complain about money the most are the ones who spend the most. I know a few people like this. They are always going out to dinner, going to get ice cream for the kids, vacations, have cell phones, two cars, etc…You get the picture.

So let me ask you a question. Who says you have to live? By “live” I mean live the good life. Live with comforts. Live like you have always lived. Somewhere along the path, we fell victim to believing that we actually “deserve” something. I am not sure when this happened. All I know is that our grandparents would be ashamed at what’s going on. I don’t remember them saying, “Yeah, but you have to live too.” It was something more along the lines of “Don’t be a fool. Save your money.”

Pain? What’s that? Sacrifice? Never heard of it. This is the world we live in. Not having a bowl of ice cream to eat while watching your favorite show on your big screen TV? No way man. Can’t do it. Having your cell phone ring while you are sitting next to your home phone? Dude, you’re broke.

Unfortunately, people have no idea that they are setting themselves up for some serious damage. I think Joe Q. Public is used to the government helping at every turn. I am not sure they have heard that things aren’t so rosy out there and that help ain’t going to be ’round for very long. Moving back in with momma is a hard hit to the ego. Especially when it’s with your wife/husband and two kids.

Which brings me to my next point.

Argument #2 – “When are we really ever ready to have kids?”

Oh this one burns me up. When I ask someone why they decided to have children so young, when they aren’t established in any area of their life, when they hardly have a job, when they really have no money, when they barely have any education, they reply to me, “C’mon, when are we really ever ready to have kids?”

I’ll tell you when you are ready. When you have a house and own more then 50% of it. When you have had a steady job at a healthy company for more than three years. When you have the support of a family. When you have a three year reserve fund in the bank or credit union. When you are maxing out your retirement contributions. When you have no automobile loans. Need I go on?

What are these things called? I like to call them “standards.” (You know, standards. Something the banks should have been using a few years back. Hmmm…) These are the things you need to have before you have children. Trust me, I have seen more than my share of young couples who are struggling because of their children. It’s not as fun as they thought it would be. Their children didn’t fix the situation like they thought they would. It’s a real shame, because now these kids have to live with that.

Telling people this is not very popular and doesn’t win any friends. That’s why I keep it to myself and let people live their lives. I get frustrated at times when I have to listen to the sob stories of people’s lives when all the while I know that the “sobber” caused every last ounce of their own pain. Frustrated is an understatement.

So what’s the difference? Our parents didn’t have any money when they had us. We can do the same thing, right? Well, that’s kind of like comparing the financial situation of the U.S. and the financial situation of Japan. Search for “Deflation U.S. vs. Japan.” Both are experiencing forms of deflation, but the economic picture is very different. Search those terms and read a few articles. You’ll start seeing what’s happening.

How are we different from our parents? Well, for one thing, our parents knew how to work. Some of us don’t. Many of us sit in a cubicle all day and complain about it. A second job mowing lawns on the weekends? Heck no. Painting houses? Nope. Cutting down trees? Never heard of it. I just described the neighborhood I grew up in. About 90% of the people I lived next to worked side jobs after their full time jobs during the week and on weekends. It’s one of the reasons why our parents used to fight so much.

Let’s talk about cars. Do you have a new car? What type of car did your parents drive when they were your age? Did they have one or two? My parents drove a Volkswagen Rabbit diesel and a Chevy Chevette. I used to call it the “Vette.” Both cars were bought used and paid for in full at the time of purchase. My parents used to fix their own cars. Why? Because mechanics used to charge $18 per hour. Now it’s over $100, but still, $18 was a lot back then. It’s called working hard and not getting what you want all the time.

Now let’s compare houses. How big was the average house in the 70s? How big is the average house today? These days, 22 year olds are getting brand new kitchens with granite counter tops. They have hot tubs in their bathrooms. What has happened to the world? Actually, I should say the U.S. because the rest of the world probably isn’t pulling the same load of garbage as we are.

Okay, I got a little off track with this post, but that is because it’s way too easy to do that when I talk about this kind of stuff. My point is, and this is what I try to preach but no one ever listens, live like your parents did when they were your age. That’s it. Do it and your financial situation will improve greatly. Get out of debt. Close your credit card accounts. Buy used cars, not new. Live in a small house. Use your fireplace. Stop buying cookies and junk food. Put half the miles on your car as you are right now. The list goes on and on. Basically, turn over a new leaf and start thinking of where you waste money.

Want some really easy tips on how to do this? Here they are…straight out of “The Richest Man in Babylon.” It’s just not that hard.

1) Start thy purse to fattening – Save and invest.
2) Control thy expenditures – Watch out for self serving brokers and people who offer to “help” you.
3) Make thy gold mutiply – Use powerful investments.
4) Guard thy treasures from loss – Watch out for people with their hot tips.
5) Make of thy dwelling a profitable investment – Rental properties, your own home, but stay within your means.
6) Insure a future income – Do work that you love to do. Become excellent at it.
7) Increase thy ability to earn – Education never stops. Keep reading good financial and economics books.

Better yet, go down to your local library right now and get the book. Read it and return it. You’ll learn a lot. I promise.

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Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand

Whelp, I finally got it. “Atlas Shrugged” by Ayn Rand that is.

I have been flying through the classics. A while back, I read “1984″ and then just recently I read “Brave New World.” Today, I received a nice beat up copy of Atlas Shrugged. Of course, I have been very busy with random business and economics books in the meantime, but these utopia and distopia books really are some of my favorites.

Back when I was in college, a friend of mine had to read Atlas Shrugged for one of his classes. He kept telling me to give it a try and how much I would like it. “Yeah right” was my response. I had plenty of classes to worry about and trying to get through over 1000 pages of some book wasn’t high on my list of priorities. I am not taking 18 credits these days, so that opens up a world of opportunity for me. Now, I can tackle the book my old friend had recommended to me.

I’ll let you know how it goes. It might be a while.

Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand

Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand


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Foreign Currency ETFs

So let me ask you a question…since I really know nothing about this.

What do you think of the idea of basically buying a few foreign currency ETFs that generally move in opposition to one another? And then, as the prices for the ETFs move away from each another, you can simply rebalance them to get the portfolio back into the area you want. It would basically be the same thing as diversifying and rebalancing asset classes, but you would be using currency ETFs.

Since there is some volatility in this market, I think there is something to this strategy. It might be someplace to park some money as a hedge against many things. Also, by using ETFs, you don’t have to necessarily get into the FOREX (Foreign Exchange) market, per se. ETFs are a heck of a lot easier to trade and they act very similarly to stock trades.

Well, what do you think? Does anyone have any experience with this? Is it a logical idea now that we are hearing all sorts of news about a bond bubble?


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Brave New World

I finished reading “Brave New World” a few days ago. I have to tell you that for a while there, I didn’t think I was going to get through it.

Rarely have I actually put down a book before I finished reading it. By “put down,” I mean stop reading it for good. I generally have a good sense about books. I don’t start them unless I am prepared to finish them.

Brave New World is a classic. As such, I expected the book to be thrilling from beginning to end. Brave New World was not thrilling from beginning to end, but it did redeem itself at its conclusion.

I am not going to give you a long review on this book because there are way too many of them already. What I will do is tell you that I got tingles by what was written on the last page. I will also tell you that I am extremely happy that I finished this book.

My opinion is that Brave New World was actually a tragedy. A tragedy, just like the “Romeo and Juliet” and “Othello” that were mentioned so many times throughout. Many people might read this book and come to the conclusion that it was simply a fairy tale…something that will never happen. Others may read this book and consider its societal system as something to fear. I view this book as merely a story about how people fit in. It’s a story about individuality and the struggle between new and old. New being the civilized world and old being the land of the savages.

The real tragedy of Brave New World is how new and old can’t co-exist. It’s one or the other…either or. There’s a line in the sand that both can’t cross. Of course, the last chapter of the book shows what society’s impact can have on someone. To me, that’s the real fear.


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Visiting I-Park in East Haddam, CT

A few days ago, I was a bit depressed. I was all sorts of feeling sorry for the state of affairs in the world. I do a lot of reading and watching a wide variety of videos online and pretty much came to the conclusion that we are in disarray. I won’t even tell you the volume of research I do into these areas because I will just start feeling bad again.

So there I was, pouting away when my better half approaches me and says, “Hey, do you want to go visit that I-Park place I was telling you about? It’s really cool. Different artists create pieces that fit nicely in natural habitats.” Now, you can imagine the thoughts that were coursing through mind at that instant. I didn’t verbalize any of them, but they were pretty much to the effect of…You want me to go try to enjoy some artwork in the woods while there are so many more important things to worry about? I have never been one to really enjoy art as much as others do. I mean, I do once it is in front of me, but getting there is difficult.

We went anyway. I didn’t want to go, but for the sake of our relationship, we went. My goal was to pull up and park, walk around for a bit with a fake smile and then leave.

When we arrived at I-Park, I was pleased to discover that the property was situated in one of my favorite places in Connecticut. It was in close proximity to Devil’s Hopyard State Park in East Haddam. Why do I like this area so much? Well, because the masses haven’t invaded it yet. There is very little traffic and it’s quite peaceful. I actually wish we lived on a nice large piece of land there.

I am going to be honest with you. My bad mood started to slide off me. As I walked around I-Park, I began to discover that these people really didn’t need to know about all the bad things I knew. I am not even going to try to get into their heads, but I started realizing that simply living in a nice environment, doing what you love is actually much more rewarding than getting all caught up in other people’s business. I really have to learn to relax and get out more often. My mental health depends on it.

We walked around for a good long while. The I-Park property is acres and acres, so there was plenty to do. It’s very pretty, with a big lake and great walking trails through meadows and woods. There were many displays to pause at and absorb. By the time we were done, I had completely forgotten what I was so annoyed at and started pondering strategies that would help me become less dependent on the internet and all the bad news it provides. Since I was a kid, I have fantasized about having a great big piece of property somewhere and cutting nice trails through it all day long. That would be the life.

Anyway, I took a bunch of pictures. When I say a bunch, I mean a bunch. I am going to post them below in gallery format. Please feel free to click each one for a closer look and if you tell anyone I am the guy who felt sorry for himself when I walked in this place, I’ll deny it.


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Costco vs. BJ’s vs. Sam’s Club Wholesale Clubs

Oh here we go again. Yes folks, another post about which is better, Costco vs. BJ’s vs. Sam’s Club wholesale clubs.

Let truth be told, we like them all. Each wholesale club offer a variety of foods in bulk, which saves us gas and time. Oh yeah, this post is about our food shopping, not about buying a plastic shed, swing set or a six-pack of motorcycles.

Throughout the past few years, we have been members of Sam’s Club, Costco and BJ’s wholesale clubs. The latter with only one visit. I think I’ll go chronologically with my views on all of them.

1. Sam’s Club – I think we were members of Sam’s Club about eight years ago and then again four or five years ago. It was pretty good. I don’t have anything bad to say about it. The only problem is that both times, the club was at least a half hour away from where we lived. This is actually a good thing because living near a big wholesale club can’t be good for quality of life. By that, I mean traffic, ugliness of the roads (strip malls, etc…) and things in general. We tend to gravitate more towards pretty rural areas where fewer people live. Although, those places are getting crowded as well.

From what I remember, Sam’s Club had a decent selection of food. I liked the big bags of frozen veggies, but I do remember getting potato and seafood salad each time we went. Pickles too. We don’t eat that stuff anymore, so Sam’s Club might be a bit limited for us. They had a great produce area and a good selection of food overall. Again, nothing bad to say.

2. Costco – From reading over many websites that deal with which is the best wholesale club, I think the public has reach a consensus that Costco is the best. I will say that the last Costco (of which we are still members) we went to offered gasoline at a nice discount. I used to wait until we had to fill the car before we would head up there.

The food at Costco was good, but did get a bit boring at times. I liked the fact that they offered cage free eggs and had a really nice produce department that had some pretty big packaging. One of the more disappointing things about Costco is the checkout lines. Since the store is so popular, the lines get kind of long, even at off-peak times. We never visited the store at peak times, but from what we saw, Costco did a good job at keeping things moving along.

Really, the only reason we decided to leave Costco is because of the long distance between where we live and the store. Everything else was okay.

3. BJ’s – We just signed up for a membership at BJ’s wholesale club. We made sure that this was one of the newer and larger clubs, because we don’t like the smaller, older ones. The lighting and selection is better at the club we signed up with than the sister club just a few towns over.

This BJ’s club is about 20 miles closer to where we live than Costco is. There are two reasons that pushed us into changing; distance and store hours. Again, the store is closer, but the store hours of Costco were really getting on our nerves. It opens late and closes early. As I expressed above, we like to avoid the crowds. That’s pretty difficult to do when there are short store hours. We were forced to drive in traffic and shop with people we don’t necessarily care for.

We did a walk through of BJ’s before we made the leap. It had everything we needed and then some. There is a really nice selection of veggie burgers and other things, but they are missing the big box of green tea that my better half likes. We’ll just get that somewhere else. Also, this BJ’s doesn’t offer discounted gas, but I’ll survive. Perhaps I won’t need so much gas anymore, now that I shaved off 40 miles every time I go shopping at one of these places.

Just like the other clubs, BJ’s is in a crowded area of town. I don’t like that, but I am sure I’ll make it through.

So, what’s the reason we go shopping at big wholesale clubs when we really don’t like the idea of their existence? Well, it’s to save time and money. We do a good portion of our shopping at a local market and a produce stand, but for getting those staple items, we have found these stores to be the best. I only like to shop about once every two months and getting cases of things is better than getting single items. It keeps me off the road and saves gas and annoyance. I don’t think anyone likes driving around crowded areas and if they have the chance to avoid it, they would take that opportunity.

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Two New Cleveland Select Pear Trees

I guess August is the time to plant Cleveland Select Pear Trees. It seems to be a trend around these parts. I have no idea why…maybe it’s because the landscaping rush is just about over in the big box stores and now the prices are down a bit. Whatever. It just seems that I purchase more trees and shrubs toward the end of the season.

I happened to be near Lowe’s yesterday when I thought it might be a good idea to drop in to see if there were any nice trees available. I haven’t had any luck with Home Depot for…years. I don’t know what’s going on over on that end. Lowe’s has been the place to get the good stuff. Home Depot seems to be jacking up the prices and cutting the selection. I know this might be just perception and the inventory varies in different stores, but I think I have had it with them. Lowe’s gives me what I want.

I was pleasantly surprised when I walked into the nursery area to find a whole bunch of one gallon trees for less than $20. There were Crabapples, Peach trees, Cleveland Select Pear trees, Maples, Oaks and a whole bunch more. I think I got these two Cleveland Select Pear trees for $18.98 each or something like that. Nice.

The reason I really like the Cleveland Select Pear tree is because it’s a pretty tough tree, it grows really fast and it doesn’t get too large. The tag says it grows to about 40 feet. That’s a nice size tree that you don’t have to worry about falling on the house.

Speaking of growing fast…we bought about five or six of these trees last year. They probably grew about two feet this year. Every time I go up and look at them, I am amazed at how thick the trunks are getting. I like seeing something actually grow.

On another note, we have been having a lot of hot, dry weather around here. These Cleveland Select Pear trees haven’t been showing the least sign of stress. the leaves on one of our Hickory trees are turning brown and are getting crispy, but these trees are hanging in there.

I am going to post a few pictures of these trees. I would say they are between four and five feet tall. When I planted them, I made sure to dig a fairly large hole. Then, I put the tree ball in the hole and filled it with compost. When roots have nice soft soil to grow into, the tree grows a heck of a lot faster. When I was done with that, I made a nice moat around the tree to hold any water I put there. That ensures that the roots actually get water instead of just having it run off as the soil gets dry and hard.

PS – The rocks are there simply because I dug them up and got lazy. I just left them there.

Cleveland Select Pear Tree Planted In Front Yard

Cleveland Select Pear Tree Planted In Front Yard

Cleveland Select Pear Tree Planted On Hillside

Cleveland Select Pear Tree Planted On Hillside

Moat Around Base of Cleveland Select Pear Tree

Moat Around Base of Cleveland Select Pear Tree

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